Week 26 Predictions, ShambleMetrics, and Caleb's favorite betting lines

Format: Each betting line is assigned a star (★) rating. For the purposes of ROI calculation, each star corresponds to a single unit.

Week 25 Results: 0-3-0 (64-49-8 OVR / +4.5% ROI / +11.18 units)

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Favorite Lines:

Tampa Bay Rowdies Win/Draw Double Chance (-110, ★★★★★): Tampa is unbeaten in their last seven, a stretch which included three road games (FTL, PRFC, IND). Despite late-game heroics (read: a complete mental meltdown by Indy Eleven) earning Edmonton their first win in eight matches, I see no reason to believe they will do the same to Tampa Bay. The value in this line is outrageous. 

Miami FC to win (-135, ★★★): In their last seven matches away from home, Rayo OKC have averaged 0.43 points per game (second lowest in the NASL), with a 57.14% loss percentage. Miami is the better team, in better form, and this should show in the result.

Predictions:

We're tracking these predictions in a points-based system throughout the season: 3 points for correct game result, 1 point for each correct score (by team), and 1 additional point for a perfect game.

Spring Standings:
James: 124
Caleb: 107
Seth: 107

Fall Standings:
James: 231
Caleb: 209
Brandon: 186*
Seth: 175

2016 Overall Standings:
James: 338
Caleb: 333
Seth: 282
Brandon: 186*

Points per Week:
Brandon: 15.50*
James: 13.52
Caleb: 13.32
Seth: 11.28

*Joined Week 14.

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The ShambleMetrics:

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Have any questions about any of the numbers or terminology found in this post? Reach out to @CalebRamp on Twitter.

Remember: All gambling and betting line discussion is for entertainment purposes only. If you do choose to gamble, be sure to do so legally and responsibly.

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James (@bshambles_JC), Seth (@SoccerBits), and Brandon (@Brew_Wallace) can also be found on Twitter.