Week 22 Results: 2-1-0 (62-42-8 OVR / +11.42% ROI / +25.52 units)
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Carolina Railhawks First Half Draw (+115, ★★★): The ShambleMetrics are giving this one a 57.69% chance of hitting, and for good reason. When it comes to First Half Draw % at home, no team with as large of a sample size can compete with the Rowdies (72.73%). Three of Carolina's last four matches have been level at half as well.
Puerto Rico FC vs. Jacksonville Armada Under 2.5 Goals (-150, ★★★): Puerto Rico hasn't scored in four, while Jacksonville boasts the second-worst Away Goals For metric in the league (0.62). I also love the value in Puerto Rico FC vs. Jacksonville Armada HT/FT Result: Draw / Draw (+315, ★). In the fall season, these two teams have combined for two wins in 27 matches.
Fort Lauderdale Strikers Win/Draw Double Chance (-155, ★★★): Fort Lauderdale has quietly put together a six-game unbeaten streak, including games against Indy Eleven (win), the New York Cosmos (Draw) and Minnesota United (Draw). The Strikers also have the third-highest average point total on the road in 2016 (1.18), and are only behind Miami FC (1.42) and FC Edmonton (1.30) in that particular metric.
Finally, it's worth noting that Rayo OKC is tied for the third-lowest home winning percentage in the league at 33%. It's a bargain to get this line at these odds.
Predictions:We're tracking these predictions in a points-based system throughout the season: 3 points for correct game result, 1 point for each correct score (by team), and 1 additional point for a perfect game.
2016 Overall Standings:
Points per Week:
*Joined Week 14.
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