Saturday, September 10, 2016

Week 22 Predictions, ShambleMetrics, and Caleb's favorite betting lines

Format: Each betting line is assigned a star (★) rating. For the purposes of ROI calculation, each star corresponds to a single unit.

Week 21 Results: 1-1-0 (60-41-8 OVR / +11.23% ROI / +24.09 units)

Favorite Lines:

Indy Eleven vs Fort Lauderdale Strikers First Half Draw (+110, ): Indy's historical trouble in the state of Florida are well documented -- as are their struggles on the road in 2016. The Strikers aren't without issues of their own, however. Expect this one to be tight early.

Puerto Rico FC vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies Under 2.5 goals (-115, )Puerto Rico has scored one goal in their last four matches, while six of Tampa Bay's last eight matches have finished under the 2.5 mark. Trust the ShambleMetrics here.

Miami FC Win/Draw Double Chance (-165, ): Edmonton hasn't lost at home in league play since April 10th, winning nine straight before finally playing to a scoreless draw against PRFC a week ago. 

That being said: Miami's sprint up the fall table isn't slowing down yet. Nobody in the league has had a better stretch of results on the road than Nesta's men are currently enjoying. Ride them while they're hot.

If you're up for a little more risk, take the Draw result at +230. Miami might not have enough to beat the Eddies at home, but I also don't see them losing.


We're tracking these predictions in a points-based system throughout the season: 3 points for correct game result, 1 point for each correct score (by team), and 1 additional point for a perfect game.

Spring Standings:
James: 124
Caleb: 107
Seth: 107

Fall Standings:
James: 172
Caleb: 151
Brandon: 134*
Seth: 123

2016 Overall Standings:
Caleb: 275
James: 279
Seth: 230
Brandon: 134*

Points per Week:
Brandon: 16.75*
Caleb: 13.10
James: 13.29
Seth: 10.95

*Joined Week 14.

The ShambleMetrics:

Have any questions about any of the numbers or terminology found in this post? Reach out to @CalebRamp on Twitter.

Remember: All gambling and betting line discussion is for entertainment purposes only. If you do choose to gamble, be sure to do so legally and responsibly.

Join Caleb Ramp each week during the season for the Bloody Shambles Preview ShowDon't forget to follow Bloody Shambles on Twitter, and like us on Facebook

James (@bshambles_JC), Seth (@SoccerBits), and Brandon (@Brew_Wallace) can also be found on Twitter.

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