Week 21 Predictions, ShambleMetrics, and Caleb's favorite betting lines

Format: Each betting line is assigned a star (★) rating. For the purposes of ROI calculation, each star corresponds to a single unit.

Week 20 Results: 2-0-0 (59-40-8 OVR / +11.26% ROI / +23.69 units)

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Favorite Lines:

Carolina Railhawks vs Jacksonville Armada Over 2.5 Goals (-125, ★★): The last four results for Carolina: 1-6 (ouch), 3-2 (ugh), 2-2, and 2-2. They're scoring, they're conceding, and Jacksonville hasn't shown the ability to keep an opponent scoreless when on the road. Expect goals in this one.

Miami FC to win (+120, ★★): No team has been better on the road than Miami in the Fall season (nine points in five games, +5 GD). This is too much value for a team which should continue their climb up the table with a win tonight.

Predictions:

We're tracking these predictions in a points-based system throughout the season: 3 points for correct game result, 1 point for each correct score (by team), and 1 additional point for a perfect game.

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The ShambleMetrics:

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Have any questions about any of the numbers or terminology found in this post? Reach out to @CalebRamp on Twitter.

Remember: All gambling and betting line discussion is for entertainment purposes only. If you do choose to gamble, be sure to do so legally and responsibly.

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