Saturday, August 27, 2016

Week 20 Predictions, ShambleMetrics, and Caleb's favorite betting lines

Format: Each betting line is assigned a star (★) rating. For the purposes of ROI calculation, each star corresponds to a single unit.

Week 19 Results: 1-1-1 (57-39-8 OVR / +11.19% ROI / +22.43 units)

Podcast: James, Brandon, and Caleb take a few minutes to discuss the recent road form of the Indy Eleven (and the impact it may have on Fall title hopes), as well as a look the upcoming matches against Ottawa Fury and the New York Cosmos.

Favorite Lines:

FC Edmonton vs Puerto Rico FC Under 2.5 Goals (-135, ): I genuinely don't understand why this line is still the standard 2.5. 16 of FC Edmonton's 19 matches this year have finished under 2.5 goals, and Colin Miller's men are only conceding an incredible 0.50 goals per game at home in 2016.   

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rayo OKC 1H Draw (+115, ): Tampa and OKC have two of the highest first half draw percentages in the league in 2016 (50% and 60%, respectively). The Rowdies percentage is even higher at Al Lang (70%), as is Rayo's on the road (66.67%). Solid value here.


We're tracking these predictions in a points-based system throughout the season: 3 points for correct game result, 1 point for each correct score (by team), and 1 additional point for a perfect game.

Points per Week:
Brandon: 16.83*
Caleb: 12.68
James: 12.16
Seth: 10.37

Fall Standings:
James: 124
Caleb: 117
Brandon: 101*
Seth: 90

2016 Overall Standings:
Caleb: 241
James: 231
Seth: 197
Brandon: 101*

*Joined Week 14.

The ShambleMetrics:

Have any questions about any of the numbers or terminology found in this post? Reach out to @CalebRamp on Twitter.

Remember: All gambling and betting line discussion is for entertainment purposes only. If you do choose to gamble, be sure to do so legally and responsibly.

Join Caleb Ramp each week during the season for the Bloody Shambles Preview ShowDon't forget to follow Bloody Shambles on Twitter, and like us on Facebook

James (@bshambles_JC), Seth (@SoccerBits), and Brandon (@Brew_Wallace) can also be found on Twitter.

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