Week 17 Results: 3-1-0 (55-35-7 OVR / +15.40% ROI / +28.41 units)
Ottawa Fury -.75 (-124, ★★★): There's no shame in losing to league-leading Indy Eleven on the road, especially when Hankinson's men pull their patented late magic. Ottawa is still one of the hotter teams in the league, and 4-1-0 (W-D-L) against the Armada all-time.
The only argument one could make in Jacksonville's favor would be the bump in performance teams will occasionally see after firing their manager.
I wouldn't expect that here, and Ottawa will handle their business with ease.
Miami FC -1 (-105, ★★★): Another home favorite I absolutely love this week. In the last two weeks Nesta's side has dispatched the Eleven (2-1) and Minnesota United (4-0). Now they come home to play a Strikers team which has lost five of their last six. Miami continues to roll.
Indy Eleven vs. Rayo OKC Under 2.5 Goals (-105, ★★): There are only two teams in the NASL which have averaged more than one point per game on the road this season: Rayo OKC (1.50) and FC Edmonton (1.13).
Given OKC's incredible ability to perform consistently away from home, expect Indy to have their hands full. A 1-0 Eleven victory or a 1-1 draw would be what I anticipate to see in of this one.
One thing to note: If the forecast is to be believed, this game will very likely be delayed due to thunderstorms in the Indianapolis area close to kickoff. It's impossible to quantify what impact a soaked turf field and a multi-hour delay might have on either team's ability to score -- but the last time the Eleven had a lightning delay at home, they scored three in the first half.
FC Edmonton to win (+110, ★★): There is simply too much value to overlook for a team that has won eight straight at home, and is facing an opponent with a 57.14% loss percentage on the road in 2016.
Even if the Eddies ultimately draw with a very talented Minnesota side (and one which should have a renewed focus following a 4-0 drubbing at home), the value makes this a solid play.
Predictions:We're tracking these predictions in a points-based system throughout the season: 3 points for correct game result, 1 point for each correct score (by team), and 1 additional point for a perfect game.
Points per Week:
2016 Overall Standings:
*Joined Week 14.
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