Week 17 Results: 3-1-0 (55-35-7 OVR / +15.40% ROI / +28.41 units)
Favorite Lines:
Ottawa Fury -.75 (-124, ★★★): There's no shame in losing to league-leading Indy Eleven on the road, especially when Hankinson's men pull their patented late magic. Ottawa is still one of the hotter teams in the league, and 4-1-0 (W-D-L) against the Armada all-time.
The only argument one could make in Jacksonville's favor would be the bump in performance teams will occasionally see after firing their manager.
I wouldn't expect that here, and Ottawa will handle their business with ease.
Miami FC -1 (-105, ★★★): Another home favorite I absolutely love this week. In the last two weeks Nesta's side has dispatched the Eleven (2-1) and Minnesota United (4-0). Now they come home to play a Strikers team which has lost five of their last six. Miami continues to roll.
Indy Eleven vs. Rayo OKC Under 2.5 Goals (-105, ★★): There are only two teams in the NASL which have averaged more than one point per game on the road this season: Rayo OKC (1.50) and FC Edmonton (1.13).
Given OKC's incredible ability to perform consistently away from home, expect Indy to have their hands full. A 1-0 Eleven victory or a 1-1 draw would be what I anticipate to see in of this one.
One thing to note: If the forecast is to be believed, this game will very likely be delayed due to thunderstorms in the Indianapolis area close to kickoff. It's impossible to quantify what impact a soaked turf field and a multi-hour delay might have on either team's ability to score -- but the last time the Eleven had a lightning delay at home, they scored three in the first half.
FC Edmonton to win (+110, ★★): There is simply too much value to overlook for a team that has won eight straight at home, and is facing an opponent with a 57.14% loss percentage on the road in 2016.
Even if the Eddies ultimately draw with a very talented Minnesota side (and one which should have a renewed focus following a 4-0 drubbing at home), the value makes this a solid play.
Predictions:
Points per Week:
Brandon: 15.75*
Caleb: 12.29
James: 11.88
Seth: 10.24
Fall Standings:
James: 95
Caleb: 85
Seth: 67
Brandon: 63*
2016 Overall Standings:
Caleb: 209
James: 202
Seth: 174
Brandon: 63*
*Joined Week 14.
The ShambleMetrics:
Have any questions about any of the numbers or terminology found in this post? Reach out to @CalebRamp on Twitter.
Remember: All gambling and betting line discussion is for entertainment purposes only. If you do choose to gamble, be sure to do so legally and responsibly.
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James (@bshambles_JC), Seth (@SoccerBits), and Brandon (@Brew_Wallace) can also be found on Twitter.
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